INDEX
Every paper Pith has read and judged, in one searchable index.
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stat.AP arXiv submitted 2026-07-24Same data, opposite winner: horizon flips the best inflation model
Louis Agyekum · “Forecasting and Explaining the Phillips Curve: A SHAP-Based Comparison of Machine Learning and Traditional Time-Series Models for Canadian Unemployment and Inflation”
2607.22453 -
cs.CR arXiv submitted 2026-07-24Invariant-constrained DP noise keeps its privacy guarantee
Ryan Lafferty +1 · “A Maximum Entropy Implementation of Differential Privacy Under Linear Invariants”
2607.22450 -
stat.CO arXiv submitted 2026-07-24On Gaussians, Zig-Zag beats BPS: O(d) vs O(d²) per sample
Joris Bierkens · “Scaling Results for Piecewise Deterministic Monte Carlo : A Survey”
2607.22449 -
stat.CO arXiv submitted 2026-07-24Scaffolding, not the model, drives reliable LLM causal estimates
Winston Chou +4 · “A Human-Augmenting Agentic Workflow for Observational Causal Inference”
2607.22443 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-24No-sparsity screen links 2,391 SNPs to facial shape
Shaofei Zhao +5 · “A Consistent Feature Screening Approach for Tensor Responses with Applications to Genome-Wide Facial Shape Association”
2607.22437 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-24One trajectory learns ergodic dynamics at i.i.d
Oleksii Kachaiev +2 · “Learning Ergodic Dynamical Systems from a Finite Trajectory”
2607.22399 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-24Sparse graphs can't be fast-mixing and positively curved
Rachid Caich +1 · “Local-Global Geometric Insights for Graph Neural Networks via Entropic Curvature”
2607.22381 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-24One eigenbasis turns hotspot maps into fast spectral updates
Takumi Nakagawa +3 · “Fast boundary-aware spatial intensity estimation on complex domains”
2607.22366 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-24Auxiliary variable turns mixed-noise inverse problems exact
Nicolas Goeman +2 · “A Hierarchical Likelihood Model for Non-linear Inverse Problems under Additive and Multiplicative Noise”
2607.22330 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-24Neural net untangles two-way causality without instruments
Masahiro Tanaka · “Learning Bidirectional Causal Interactions with Heteroscedastic Neural Networks”
2607.22313 -
stat.AP arXiv submitted 2026-07-24Pool four experts and beat the best single model at nearly every level
Daniele Girolimetto · “Thick as THieFs: Temporal coherent forecast combination for day-ahead electricity prices”
2607.22310 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-24Add a covariate stage, cut forecast error 6.56%
Wan Zhang +5 · “Hopformer: Homogeneity-Pursuit Transformer for Time Series Forecasting”
2607.22299 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-24Metric landscapes show how anomaly ratios bend scores
Romain Hermary +2 · “An Insight on Evaluation Metrics Under the Imbalanced Case of Anomaly Detection”
2607.22286 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-24Pearson fits only 3 of 10 variable-pair types
M Harshvardhan +1 · “smartcor: Intelligent Correlation Method Selection for Mixed Variable Types”
2607.22285 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-24Bellman bootstrapping improves RUL prediction when labels are scarce
Hao Yan +3 · “General Value Functions for Remaining Useful Life and Failure-Mode Prediction”
2607.22268 -
math.OC arXiv submitted 2026-07-24Explicit iteration counts for inverse ILP become computable
Akira Kitaoka · “Explicit Iteration Complexity of Exact Data-Driven Inverse Optimization for Integer Linear Programs”
2607.22263 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-24Variational tensor model recovers fMRI factors at 0.98 correlation
Laura M. Montaldo +3 · “Variational Low-rank Tensor Decomposition for Multisubject Spatiotemporal Data Analysis”
2607.22262 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-24Latent flow matching takes generative OPF to 300-bus grids
Zhilin Huang · “FMOPF: Latent Flow Matching with Constraint-Aware Interaction Priors for AC Optimal Power Flow”
2607.22788 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-24FPGA runs outlier-spotting transformers in ~30–37 µs
Ilia Sobakinskikh +1 · “Optimizing Transformer Neural Network for Real-Time Outlier Detection on FPGAs”
2607.22786 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-24Asynchronous updates, not α=0, explain fast Bradley–Terry ranking
Ruijian Han +2 · “Convergence analysis of a family of Zermelo-type iterations for the Bradley--Terry model”
2607.22221 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-24Score accuracy provably controls diffusion output
Lan V. Truong · “From Score Approximation to Distribution Approximation in Score-Based Diffusion Models”
2607.22199 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-07-24Switching-diffusion semigroup blocks estimated with Gaussian limits
Yuzhong Cheng · “Nonparametric Inference for Semigroup Blocks of Switching Diffusions”
2607.22183 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-24This paper introduces ERHT, a change-point test for high-dimensional data that combines…
Fengyi Song +2 · “Elliptical Regularized Hotelling Tests for High-Dimensional Change-Point Detection”
2607.22162 -
cs.CY arXiv submitted 2026-07-24Only 1 in 5 building reports can support stranding checks
Jingyi Xu +2 · “Unfit for stranding assessment: a panel-scale multimodal-LLM audit of building-decarbonisation disclosure (BeDA)”
2607.22006 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-24Bias correction halves estimated ionizer rain boost to 6.68%
Zhi Yang Tho +2 · “Bias-Adjusted Attribution Estimation for Rainfall Enhancement Trials”
2607.21991 -
stat.AP arXiv submitted 2026-07-24AI fake news is easier to detect than human fake news
Canliv Ibenye +3 · “When Machines Lie Differently: Detecting AI vs Human Fake News”
2607.21967 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-24One-line memory test catches watermarked AI text as it streams
Lu Luo +6 · “Efficient Online LLM Watermark Detection via Rao-Blackwellized E-Processes”
2607.21958 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-24Nonlinear scaling breaks ICA
Lida Jalili +3 · “AdaptICA: Data-Adaptive Transformation Learning for Independent Component Analysis”
2607.21901 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-24First proof: multivariate random forests keep all true features
Yangsheng Wang +3 · “Theoretical Properties of Multivariate Random Forest in Feature Selection and its Application to Facial Morphology-Gene Detection”
2607.21880 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-23One exponent predicts classical-ML curves across datasets
Kaihua Ding · “Scaling Laws for Classical Machine Learning on Tabular Data: A Benchmark Study”
2607.21866 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-23Whole leaf vein networks expose three gene–geography links
Geran Zhao +3 · “An Integrated Deep Learning and Statistical Framework for Whole-Network Gene--Environment Association with Leaf Vascular Architecture”
2607.22763 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-23Repulsive point process on distributions gives better clusters
Khai Nguyen +3 · “Distributional Determinantal Point Process for Repulsive Clustering of Distributions”
2607.21847 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-23Averaged posteriors beat fixed-prior inference for simulators
Xinwei Shen +3 · “Simulation-Based Empirical Bayes”
2607.21843 -
cs.CV arXiv submitted 2026-07-23Flattening 3D brain points to a grid predicts folding 1,000x closer
Geran Zhao +6 · “Toward High-Fidelity 3D Point-Cloud Learning for Brain Folding Morphology Prediction Using Trans-Unet”
2607.21840 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-23Data-driven threshold cuts spurious network edges from 239 to 0
Praveen Niranda +2 · “Reconstruction of Enhanced Causal Omnidirectional Network (RECON)”
2607.21833 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-23Single-estimator network matches two-head treatment effect accuracy
Ali Haghpanah Jahromi +2 · “TLRNet: Estimating Individual Treatment Effect based on Local Information and Single Learner Structure”
2607.22762 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-23One R package fits, forecasts, and checks time-varying quantiles
Antonio De Leon +3 · “exdqlm: An R Package for Estimation and Analysis of Flexible Dynamic Quantile Linear Models”
2607.22760 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-23Whole HbA1c trajectories predicted from baseline data
Yangsheng Wang +3 · “Longitudinal Random Forests for Sparse and Irregular Response Trajectories”
2607.21817 -
stat.AP arXiv submitted 2026-07-23One-versus-rest LASSO beats shrunken centroids on breast cancer types
Isabella Lazarov +1 · “Another look at predicting molecular breast cancer subtypes from the METABRIC data”
2607.21814 -
math.ST arXiv submitted 2026-07-23Set-identified choice bounds gain valid normal inference
Antoine Scheid +4 · “Semiparametric inference on identification sets in choice modeling”
2607.21790 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-23Choose Anderson-Darling as the default weighted balance test
Ariel Linden · “Weighted Extensions of the Kolmogorov-Smirnov, Cramer-von Mises, and Anderson-Darling Tests for Assessing Covariate Balance”
2607.21782 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-23Bayesian sample allocation beats classical designs in heteroscedastic surveys
Jonathan Mendelson +1 · “Bayesian Optimal Sample Design for Surveys with Heteroscedasticity”
2607.21775 -
math.PR arXiv submitted 2026-07-23Dependent entries keep tensor spectra Marchenko-Pastur
Feng Cheng +1 · “Marchenko-Pastur law for tensor powers of exchangeable unconditional vectors”
2607.21759 -
stat.OT arXiv submitted 2026-07-23Pilot simulations power SMART treatment-sequence comparisons
Niki Z. Petrakos +5 · “Simulation-based Power Analysis for Sequential Multiple Assignment Randomized Trials”
2607.21751 -
stat.ME arXiv submitted 2026-07-23New PCA variant aligns group components with a global frame
Hedayat Fathi +2 · “Globally aligned Principal Component Analysis for multi-group data”
2607.21741 -
stat.ML arXiv submitted 2026-07-23Training on old reconstructions hides overconfidence no data can see
Ali Siahkoohi +1 · “Prior laundering: learned priors with inherited, undetectable overconfidence”
2607.21721 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-23Quadratic model predicts LLM training for 10% of the run
Alexandru Meterez +5 · “A Defense of the Quadratic Model”
2607.21716 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-23One neural training scheme serves Bayesian and frequentist inference
Maximilian Dax +2 · “An Introduction to Bayesian and Frequentist Simulation-Based Inference with Machine Learning”
2607.21702 -
cs.AI arXiv submitted 2026-07-23Consensus anomaly flags split Ghana's malaria risk into two maps
T. Ansah-Narh +1 · “Unsupervised Consensus-Based Anomaly Detection for Spatiotemporal Malaria Incidence in Ghana”
2607.21559 -
cs.LG arXiv submitted 2026-07-23Midpoint flow field powers a new two-sample test
Yakun Wang +3 · “Zero-Flow Two-Sample Tests”
2607.21542